Brexit, Judiciary and ruling on Article 50

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Court ruling on Article 50 invocation dominates UK press and media for last couple of days.

A number of newspapers had headlines similar to “court vs. people” and calling the judges “enemies of people”.

Is it really so?  I do not think so.

The judges in their ruling clearly mentioned that “the court is not concerned with and does not express any view about the merits of leaving the EU, which is a political issue”.

Then what is the ruling?

The court was requested to decide whether the UK Government is entitled to invoke Article 50 without a reference to parliament.  The judges ruled that the Government cannot overlook the parliament.  The ruling also mentions that “the most fundamental rule of the UK’s constitution is that Parliament is sovereign and can make and unmake any law it choose.”

This principle is critical.

Not only it is critical, but it is what the referendum voters voted for, in a larger context.  The referendum results established the fact that UK voters do not like rules imposed on them by an un-elected EU parliament – which was what the PM and her Government were trying to do.

From that perspective, I even dare to say that the judges were more biased towards the Brexit results!

So, the ruling should not be considered as a blow to referendum result.  It only says that Government should now present the terms – that it intend to discuss and debate with EU – first with the parliament, and then initiate the Article 50 discussions.

From this perspective, the ruling indeed is a defeat of the Prime Minister Theresa May and her Government.  The PM and her Tory party should not rush in to the Article 50 discussions directly with the EU; instead it should properly debate UK’s case within the parliament, reach cross-party agreements and then – then only – invoke Article 50.

From this perspective, the ruling indeed is a defeat of the Prime Minister Theresa May and her Government.  The PM and her Tory party should not rush in to the Article 50 discussions directly with the EU; instead it should properly debate UK’s case within the parliament, reach cross-party agreements and then – then only – invoke Article 50.

Resignation of Tory MP Stephen Phillips underlines this fact.

Stephen Phillips is not only a Tory, but also backed EU exit.  Still, the MP is critical of Conservative government’s actions and accuses the PM of “trying to ignore the views of parliament and avoiding scrutiny of the government’s negotiating position”.

This is in line with the court ruling as well.

I do not think UK MPs are not that unintelligent to overlook referendum result which was backed by 52% of the voters.  If they are, then they should resign – at least those ones whose constituencies voted to Leave – and then look for a fresh mandate, before they should vote against invocation of Article 50.

What is your opinion?

BREXIT – What Next?

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We are in a shock, even at end of the weekend.

I will say a good, pleasant shock.

Shock from realizing the fact that it is possible to be strong to stand for what we believe in.

Strong enough to say no to establishment, no to the disconnected politicians, no to banks and economic institutions, no to the world politicians who want to impose their selfish decisions on us.

Against all these massive, imposing establishments we strongly replied with a “No, thank you”.

We, as a country, have spoken to stay away from EU.  The verdict is in.  Let us respect the verdict and move ahead.

The question is how?  How should we move ahead?  What are the immediate steps?

I could think of the following:

1. Heal the wounds

First of all, heal the self-inflicted wounds.  The referendum was not less than a fierce war.  Cabinet members against each other, party members against each other, friends against each other; people in all wakes of lives trading verbal – and even physical – blows against each other.  In hindsight, the referendum war could’ve been fought with much less animosity and hatred from both sides.

It is now time to remove the hate and anger against each other.  It is time to realise that democracy has spoken and we are in this together to move forward.

2. Give time for reactions to calm down

Currently, the fear, doubt, anger and frustration of all who stood against the Leave vote are in full play.  These emotions results in the reactive, negative responses.

Whether it is

  • rest of the world (market / pound crashes, negative ratings),
  • the Remain supporters (fear, resignations, unbelief, sarcasm)
  • European Leads (demands for quick action),
  • Countries participating in the UK (Scottish/Irish referendum asks to get out of UK) or even

Let us give them time to express their emotions and fears.  After the initial reactions, the emotions will calm down.  Once done, the brains and minds will regain control.  Once in control, logic will eventually kick-in.  The logic will shed light to facts on what UK is, and how much is in stake for all involved.

3. Give ample time to think what we want and how best we could achieve it. 

Ignore the warnings, threats and demands from the EU leaders on quick actions.  Heck, it is this arrogance and aggressive behavior we voted to come out of!  Are they trying to scare us with the same trick again?!

The Remain / Leave referendum was an internal affair to find out what we think as a country.  We have not yet given any formal information or notice to the “EU-elites”! Per books, UK is still where we were before 23rd June.

So take this period to think – all possibilities, circumstances and ways forward.

4.  Change the Government, cabinet and thus it’s through process.

The current lot stood too strongly for Remain and they are defeated.  It is not logical, fair or viable to expect that the group who were dead against an action will work towards fulfilling the same – against their wills.

At the very least, there should be a leadership change.  David Cameron, his Exchequer and the EU-supporting cabinet members SHOULD step aside.  Even better will be a general election, through which the public can elect a new lot to kick-start the next actions.

5.  Once all of above are in place, it is time to take each debated item, one by one.  

Once we are ready, it is time to take each debated item, one by one:

(a) Immigration: Debate, discuss and put in place a comprehensive immigration policy that is global based, controlled based on requirements and skills, at the same time compassionate on asylum seeks from war-torn countries and others with humanitarian requirements.

(b) Re-allocation of EU contributions to

  • NHS
  • Farmers / Fisheries
  • Education / science / research
  • Businesses  and industries that need support

I am not an expert.  It is the job for economists to explain how this can be achieved.

But I am sure of one thing.  If EU were able take money from us and give a fraction of it as giveback and satisfy above group of our fellow country-men, then we could surely be able to use the whole contribution to make their lives even better.

(c)  Co-operation with rest of the world – including EU

(d)  TU working rules, facilities and benefits

(e)  Industries, businesses and economic institutions.

I have a lot to write on each of these items!  On that in coming days/weeks.

6.  Invoke Article 50

Once we are ready, then – AND THEN ONLY – invoke article 50.

Per me, these are the immediate next steps to convert the SHOCK to STRENGTH.

There is nothing to lose, but a lot to gain, if we are TOGETHER.

We can successfully accomplish what we voted for, if we stand TOGETHER.

We can see the UK getting stronger, powerful in not very distant future – if we work for it, TOGETHER.

 

EU vote: #2 Working Hours

Not getting much time to read on EU referendum topics, and hence not in a position to do justice on the subject.

A quick update on working hours for the day.

Working hours

From what I understood, it seems that on working hours policy there is not much difference between the UK and Europe, though just on one point, paid annual leave, UK offers a better deal for the workers.  Refer the table for more details.

The working hour rules in UK were obtained independent of EU.   That said, in a EU-free UK – controlled by Tories – it is easy for them to do a Thatcher’s re-enactment of oppression on trade unions and working rights.  Cameron and Jeremy Hunt are already attempting the same on Junior doctor’s ask for decent working hours and corresponding pay.

The advantage of better paid annual leave could be protected only under a stronger presence of Trade Union in the country.

Only from the additional days of paid annual leaves, exiting out of EU seems a better option.

Let us say it’s now 1-1.

EU vote: #1 UK contribution to EU and NHS

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I am yet to make up my mind on how to vote on 23rd June.

While the heart says a “No” vote will be good for Britain’s long term future, brain points to the uncertainty involved, at least in the short-term.

Over the next coming weeks, the plan is to go through the pros and cons of each topic and reach a decision; my personal decision on how to vote.

OK then; the first item in the list is from “Vote Leave” to vote out and re-allocate UK’s EU contribution to NHS.

I think this is just an eye wash argument of Vote Leave campaign.

After a quick look, it is easy to vote in support of EU, based only on this topic.

Why?

Look at the facts on the table:

  • Per BBC, UK’s net contribution (after removing what UK gets back) is approx. £8.39 billion per year.
  • Per NHS website, “for 2015/16, the overall NHS budget was around £116.4 billion. NHS England is managing £101.3 billion of this.”

I agree £8.4b is a lot of money; that’s approx. 9% boost to NHS, if the entire amount is re-allocated (which, will not happen) to NHS.  it could solve a number of current open issues.  Improve front-line services, decrease waiting times, employ more doctors/nurses instead of forcing junior doctors to work long hours; list is endless.

I also agree NHS is close to Britain’s heart and conscience.

That said, even if we re-allocate the entire UK contribution to NHS, it is only a fraction of NHS budget.  Comparing this with the benefits UK receives as investment in UK Research and Developments, I think it is safer to say that being in Europe appears to be have more benefits than a monitory boost to NHS.

So, after the first discussion, it is 1-0 in favour of EU.

What is your opinion?